Economy and war

 After 80 years of peace after World War II, the European Union is once again facing a global war threat. Airspace incursions are becoming more frequent. So are missile threats. The peaceful post-war period with more extensive and frequent meetings and even the establishment of the United Nations (UN) and the definition of borders between countries is disappearing amid a tendency to re-evaluate state borders and list the peoples in the territories.

We can hear again about the mineral and mining wealth of an individual country. And also about fossil fuels. The first reaction to an invasion of foreign territory, such as the Russian invasion of Ukraine, was actually trade sanctions, starting with a ban on imports from the country that was supposed to be the aggressor, as Russia is recognized, since it crossed the clearly delineated state borders of Ukraine with its army.

Of course, speculation also immediately appeared. Some would still remain loyal to their long-standing economic and trade partner Russia, especially in the oil and gas trade. Others would like to be the EU's import-control window or, in local terms, the only importer of goods from the aggressor state and, of course, also from countries that support Russia, such as China, which is quietly in the background.

  The unity of the EU is thus disintegrating, as threats are also emerging from some countries to leave the EU. Being together in good times and bad is a very difficult matter, which often confronts the economic principles of maximum profitability, which knows no national, ethical or ethnic affiliation. 

In fact, we are increasingly talking about simple global or world trade and, consequently, about trade wars. Free world economic trade would have to submit to the new threat of world war and trading under special conditions and, of course, new trade laws in times of war. 

  The Ukrainian-Russian conflict or war cannot possibly have an epilogue in a peaceful diplomatic resolution of the disputes. Because of this, the interrupted global or unlimited trade flow of goods is also expected. We can expect interrupted trade agreements as a reflection of disagreement with their aggressive policy. Possible blackmail by suspending the supply of necessary raw materials and energy or products is also indicated. Whether it is even imagined or not, the fact that the EU, together with NATO, simply cannot be self-sufficient, or is essentially dependent on Russia itself, let alone China, will show a not very rosy future. However, the former stupidity of the essential dependence of the EU and NATO is indicated, which will have to transform from trade and consumerism into creativity and production and a new way of safe self-protective self-sufficiency.